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Portugal - Primeira Liga | Regular Season - 28
Fri 3 Apr at 19:30
Sporting CP
Elo: 1734
vs
Santa Clara
Elo: 1442
Prediction: Home Win (2-0)
Match Result Prediction
82%Very High
71%18%11%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 2-0
Goals Markets
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
Model Breakdown
eloH: 75% | D: 16% | A: 10%
poissonH: 82% | D: 13% | A: 5%
Context Adjustments
motivation: +2%
Our Analysis vs Market
(6 bookmakers)Home Win
Us71%
Market71%
Draw
Us18%
Market18%
Away Win
Us11%
Market11%
Over 2.5-1%
Us66%
Market67%
Bookmaker Odds
Match Result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.43 | 5.24 | 7.21 |
| William Hill | 1.35 | 6.43 | 7.02 |
| Betfair | 1.31 | 5.73 | 9.33 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40 | 5.74 | 6.88 |
| Unibet | 1.29 | 5.28 | 11.39 |
| 1xBet | 1.39 | 4.35 | 10.23 |
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.46 | 2.89 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 2.70 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 3.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32 | 3.31 |
| Unibet | 1.49 | 2.77 |
| 1xBet | 1.38 | 2.91 |
Form Comparison
Sporting CP
Stat
Santa Clara
Last 5
2.1
Avg Scored
1.4
0.8
Avg Conceded
1.6
-
Avg Possession
-
6
Clean Sheets
2
2
League Pos
13